Perception of Farmers on Climate Change on Agricultural Productivity in Ninewa Governorate of Iraq
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Date
2023
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Lead City University Ibadan
Abstract
The study examined the perception of farmers on climate change on agricultural productivity in
Ninewa Governorate of Iraq and was based on the conservation model and high payoff input
model/theory. The study employed a mixed research design employing cross-sectional, descriptive,
and correlational research design, which were guided by both qualitative and quantitative data
collection approaches. Five-point Likert scale questionnaire and key-informant interview were used
for data collection. Simple random sampling and purposive sampling techniques were used to select the
respondents for this study. Collected data were analyzed using Statistical Package for Social Sciences
(SPSS) version 22.0. The study involved a response rate of 81(76%), which was good and acceptable
for subsequent analysis. The study succinctly revealed a negative and statistically significant impact on
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agricultural productivity. Based on coefficient of determination (r =0.172), the findings imply that the
explained variation in agricultural productivity due to water scarcity and drought is about 17.2%. Based
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on coefficient of determination (r =0.171), the findings imply that the explained variation in
agricultural productivity due to declining precipitation is about 17.1%. Based on coefficient of
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determination (r =0.115), the findings imply that the explained variation in agricultural productivity
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due to extremely high temperature is about 11.5%. Based on coefficient of determination (r =0.2601)
the findings imply that the explained variation in agricultural productivity due to dust and sandstorms is
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about 26.01%. Based on coefficient of determination (r =0.282) the findings imply that the explained
variation in agricultural productivity due to climate change is about 28.2%. Consequently, it is
concluded that climate change has a negative and statistically significant impact on agricultural
productivity. Based on this, it is recommended that the government should invest massively in
environmental protection so as to improve on water precipitation in order to boost agricultural
productivity in the governorate.
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Keywords
Drought, Temperature, Declining precipitation, Dust and sandstorms, agricultural productivity and environmental protection.